Vital resource stocks have been pounded during the financial crisis. Some of the losses have come from the liquidation of positions investors piled into—including hedge funds—on the way up. Some have been due to the historic surge in the US dollar, which--in turn--has been due in part to the so-called flight to quality and unwinding of the “carry trade” by large institutions. And some of the losses have been due simply to worries that the liquidity crisis would trigger a steep global recession. Read More
Analyst Articles
Building negawatts requires no siting or permitting. It by nature reduces environmental risk of any kind including carbon emissions because it eliminates the need to build generation of any sort. And provided plans are approved by regulators, the investment is immediately recovered in rates. That adds to earnings by boosting sales and helping control costs. According to the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI), energy efficiency improvements through negawatt spending could cut projected energy use by 7 to 11 percent over the next two decades. EPRI, which is itself sponsored by the power industry, notes achieving 11 percent is only possible with sufficient technology innovation, as well as consumer adoption of more efficient building codes and appliance standards. Read More
Building negawatts requires no siting or permitting. It by nature reduces environmental risk of any kind including carbon emissions because it eliminates the need to build generation of any sort. And provided plans are approved by regulators, the investment is immediately recovered in rates. That adds to earnings by boosting sales and helping control costs. According to the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI), energy efficiency improvements through negawatt spending could cut projected energy use by 7 to 11 percent over the next two decades. EPRI, which is itself sponsored by the power industry, notes achieving 11 percent is only possible with sufficient technology innovation, as well as consumer adoption of more efficient building codes and appliance standards. Read More
What we have today is basically a bifurcated marketplace. In Group A, we have what investors run to when they’re deathly worried about the health of the global economy. That’s basically been the US dollar and investors’ preferred way to own it, US government-backed Treasury bonds. In Group B, on the other hand, there’s pretty much everything else, from US stocks of all stripes to emerging markets, energy and other commodities and bonds not issued by the US Treasury. Right now, fear rules and group A has the upper hand. Group B in contrast is the best buyer’s market since at least late 2002. There is danger, but there’s also staggering opportunity, and it’s selling for a song. By far, the world’s biggest and surest opportunity for outsized growth over the next decade is the need to build a new 21st century infrastructure. The opportunities are myriad, ranging from builders and operators to resource players and innovators of all manner of technology. And the players are a varied lot as well, ranging from super strong global giants to relatively small innovators. Read More
What we have today is basically a bifurcated marketplace. In Group A, we have what investors run to when they’re deathly worried about the health of the global economy. That’s basically been the US dollar and investors’ preferred way to own it, US government-backed Treasury bonds. In Group B, on the other hand, there’s pretty much everything else, from US stocks of all stripes to emerging markets, energy and other commodities and bonds not issued by the US Treasury. Right now, fear rules and group A has the upper hand. Group B in contrast is the best buyer’s market since at least late 2002. There is danger, but there’s also staggering opportunity, and it’s selling for a song. By far, the world’s biggest and surest opportunity for outsized growth over the next decade is the need to build a new 21st century infrastructure. The opportunities are myriad, ranging from builders and operators to resource players and innovators of all manner of technology. And the players are a varied lot as well, ranging from super strong global giants to relatively small innovators. Read More
Bear markets aren’t the best time to expect immediate blockbuster gains. But they are the best possible time to build a high-quality portfolio of positions for outsized future returns. Doing just that is our primary goal for the New World 3.0 Portfolio here in its second month of operation. To date we’ve purchased nine stocks of companies tapped into what’s shaping up as the biggest investment opportunity of our lifetime: The need to construct the infrastructure needed to run a global 21st century economy. Read More
Bear markets aren’t the best time to expect immediate blockbuster gains. But they are the best possible time to build a high-quality portfolio of positions for outsized future returns. Doing just that is our primary goal for the New World 3.0 Portfolio here in its second month of operation. To date we’ve purchased nine stocks of companies tapped into what’s shaping up as the biggest investment opportunity of our lifetime: The need to construct the infrastructure needed to run a global 21st century economy. Read More
VRI Portfolio stocks are chosen for their staying power as businesses. We’ve consistently warned against the penny mining situations that trade solely on speculation. Rather, our focus is on businesses set to prosper from two very long-term trends: growing scarcity of easy-to-get-to resources and the giant call on those resources from nations rapidly constructing 21st century economies. Read More
Recovery even from such deep value won’t occur until there’s visibility on how far the global economy will sink. In fact, there could well be more near-term downside. But these prices do represent another chance to buy these vital resources at prices that guarantee an explosive recovery, once a bottom for the economy is in sight. Read More
“‘Buy when everyone else is selling, and hold until everyone else is buying.’ This is more than just a catchy slogan. It is the very essence of successful investment.” That quote from legendary oil tycoon J. Paul Getty appears in his book How to Be Rich, as well as in the beginning of one of my favorite investment books, Contrary Investing by Richard E. Band. As long as I’ve been in the investment business, I’ve never seen a more simple and effective piece of advice. That particularly goes during tumultuous times like these. Read More