Election Day, at last.From Key West to Nome to Honolulu, millions of Americans are heading to the polls today to exercise their right to vote in the world’s oldest democracy. It’s a stirring and encouraging ritual – a tonic for the wounds and bruises of a brutal campaign.Whatever the outcome,… Read More
Stocks to Watch
To paraphrase Gerald Ford, our long national nightmare is almost over.Barring a recount or challenge, we’ll know our next president by early tomorrow morning. And not a moment too soon.It’s been a brutal campaign. The contrast between the candidates couldn’t be starker. Neither could the claims of catastrophic consequences should… Read More
The last jobs report before the election was good news for the Clinton campaign.The October report, released this morning, showed job creation of 161,000, with unemployment dropping to 4.9%. While slightly lower than the consensus estimate of 175,000, the number of jobs created was strong enough to reflect a… Read More
AT&T’s proposed $85.4 billion deal to buy Time Warner is the latest and largest mega-media merger. It won’t be the last.Here’s why: AT&T andVerizon make their money giving customers high-speed Internet service at home, pay TV channels and, in some cases, Internet access to mobile devices.The shorthand labels for these… Read More
Bloomberg had an article yesterday about “where the next crisis will come from.” The list included unsettled politics, problem banks and growing debt.Guess what? That’s a woefully incomplete list. But don’t expect me to complete it because the truth is we don’t know what the next crisis will be.Part… Read More
We all know the expression that a fool and his money are soon parted. But as we observe the irrational actions of energy traders lately, it begs the question: How did these fools and their money get together in the first place?Case in point: The irrational exuberance now bidding up the… Read More
Tonight’s the final presidential debate.Oh. Boy. Like most Americans, I just want this campaign to end. Can we just fast-forward to Election Day and move on?In fact, the more relevant debate for investors is: what to buy now?U.S. stocks, foreign stocks, bonds? Or maybe increase cash, like the pros are doing?In… Read More
Professional investors have more of their portfolios in cash than at any time since 9/11.That’s remarkable—and a hopeful sign for the market in 2017.As we’ve said before, the U.S. stock market is vulnerable to a correction. Valuations are high, interest rates are likely to move higher, and there’s a not-insignificant… Read More
Economically, the energy sector has been in the doldrums for years now.But for investors, it’s been anything but boring.That’s because during the long cyclical downturn, energy prices have been fairly volatile. Check out this price graph for crude oil over the past 20 years.The collapses in 2008 and 2014 stand… Read More
It’s been a tense time for the stock market, which is richly valued and so vulnerable to any sort of bad news.But today, good news arrived to send us into the weekend feeling a bit more relaxed.(I’m not even going to comment on last night’s National(s) tragedy. There’s always next year.)First,… Read More